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Title Between probability and certainty : what justifies belief / Martin Smith.
Author Smith, Martin (Of University of Edinburgh), author.
Edition First edition.
Publisher Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2016.


Status Loan Type Location Shelf-mark
 In Library  Standard  Library Level 10  Philosophy NB20 SMI3  

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Description xi, 213 pages : illustrations ; 22 cm
ISBN 9780198755333 hardback
0198755333 hardback
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 197-206) and index.
Contents Acknowledgements -- Introduction: the risk minimisation conception of justification -- Two epistemic goals -- What justifies belief -- Justification and lotteries -- Multiple premise closure -- Comparative justification -- Protection from error -- Similar worlds, normal worlds -- Introducing degrees -- Refining risk minimisation: the impossibility results -- Bibliography -- Index.
Summary Martin Smith explores a question central to philosophy - namely, what does it take for a belief to be justified or rational? According to a widespread view, whether one has justification for believing a proposition is determined by how probable that proposition is given one's evidence. In the present book this view is rejected and replaced with another: in order for one to have justification for believing a proposition, one's evidence must normically support it - roughly, one's evidence must make the falsity of that proposition abnormal in the sense of calling for special, independent explanation. This conception of justification bears upon a range of topics in epistemology and beyond, including the relation between justification and knowledge, the force of statistical evidence, the problem of scepticism, the lottery and preface paradoxes, the viability of multiple premise closure, the internalist/externalist debate, the psychology of human reasoning, and the relation between belief and degrees of belief. Ultimately, this way of looking at justification guides us to a new, unfamiliar picture of how we should respond to our evidence and manage our own fallibility. This picture is developed here.
Library Class Philosophy NB20
Subject Belief and doubt.
Certainty.
Probabilities -- Philosophy.

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